Who’s Really Leading in the Polls – Obama or Romney?

i votesDunno if ya heard, but we're electing a president tomorrow. There's already been some early voting, and some early voting chaos at that, and everyone's been trying to predict who's got the edge in this oh so close race. Is Obama in the lead? Is Romney in the lead? And what about Roseanne Barr -- is girl getting any votes?

Folks, I've done the work so you don't have to. Here's who the latest polls, pundits, and political philosophers are predicting will bring home the big W tomorrow night.

Hold onto your butts ...


First we turn to the Gallup. The polls they've conducted up until October 29 show that, among registered voters, Obama and Romney are tied at 48 percent each. However, among voters who are likely to vote, the Gallup reports that Romney has a better shot than Obama with 51 percent, compared to the incumbnent's 46. If you like more esoteric polls with no real or proven historical value in predicting a winner, you might like the data that suggests Obama is ten points ahead of Romney in a favorability contest.

Next we head to the New York Times where their fivethirtyeight blog predicts Obama has an 86.3 percent chance of winning. They also say Obama's got 2 points on Romney when it comes to the popular vote, and 10 points on ole Mitt in regards to the electoral vote.

And CNN? Well, they're saying that Obama and Romney are locked in a dead heat at 49 percent. When it comes to who people like the most, looks like it's still pretty close -- 56 percent of people polled think Obama has the personal qualities it takes to be president, and 55 percent think Romney does, as well. 

Last but not least, who could forget Google and Facebook. The oh so official me-countie-the-headlines-on-the-Intewebbies poll finds that most news sources and blogs are reporting that Obama's got a slight lead over Romney ... and when it comes to the meaningless Facebook likes, Mitt's got 11.9 million and Obama has 31.7 million.

Oh, in case you were wondering, Ms. Barr's chances aren't looking too good. I couldn't find any poll results that listed her potential take home of the votes. Womp, womp.

No matter which way you slice it, it's a close race, but it's almost time to stop looking at the polls and start heading to the polls. Happy voting, everybody.

Who do you think is going to win tomorrow?


Photo via kvanhorn/Flickr


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